Thursday, January 27, 2011

Himalayan Glaciers Melt Unconnected to Global Warming: War lost, the humiliation starts for the Climate Justice Movement





Himalayan glaciers are actually advancing rather than retreating, claims a new peer reviewed study by scientists at the Universities of California and Potsdam found that half of the glaciers in the Karakoram Range, in the northwestern Himalaya, are in fact advancing and that global warming is not the deciding factor in whether a glacier survives or melts. The key factor affecting the advance or retreat of the Karakoram glaciers is the amount of debris strewn on their surface.  Read the full story: The Telegraph, UK

In November 2009, Jairam Ramesh had released a report by glaciologist V.K. Raina claiming that Himalayan glaciers are not all retreating at an alarming pace. It had been disputed by many Western scientists, while IPCC chairman R.K. Pachauri dismissed it as “voodoo science.” The so called "climate justice activist movement” then rose up as one body to the IPCC defense. However, Dr. Raina was later vindicated by the IPCC’s own retraction of its claim that the Himalayan glaciers would melt by 2035, which was slap to the credibility of the movement.
 
These foreign funded environmental organizations and NGOs had claimed that the Himalayan glaciers that are the source of the rivers like the Ganges could disappear by 2030 as temperatures rise making global warming the greatest threat to the Ganges. They attempted to create mass hysteria by further claiming that this in turn will threaten South Asia’s fresh water supply. The World Wildlife Fund even listed the Ganges among the world’s ten most endangered rivers. In India, the Ganges provides water for drinking and farming for more than 500 million people. But last summer’s floods in northern India has amply illustrated that capacity of these rivers are not so dependent on glacier melt than on the monsoon.

Since then the “climate justice” movement has been experiencing reversals one after the other. To revive the flagging fortunes, global warmists were hoping 2010 to be the warmest in recorded history. With 2010 losing out to 1998, it only proved was that there is no evidence of accelerating global warming for the last 12 years. Their indignity does not end here. The last six months we saw some of the worst disasters in recent times - the Russian heatwave; Pakistani, Philippines, Sri Lankan and Australian floods. Though these climate activists did try to whip up hysteria, they found to their horror, climatologists including warmest climate research institutions like NASA and NOAA, ruled this out as a consequence of human induced climate change and instead firmly attributed to these disasters to the La Niña, a natural climatic phenomenon. The La Niña is besides causing global temperatures to plunge significantly with this month’s average global temperature anomaly expected within the negative band. 
 




Global warmists had predicted that snow will be rare and extinct and our children need to go to museums to get a glimpse of its artificial re-creation. With this harsh winter, the third record breaking in a row, we had thought will have them red faced. But no. They now unleashed the propaganda that global warming and global cooling are one and the same thing. See the Telegraph article - "As the planet gets warmer, we will feel much colder!". Suddenly, the whole world begins to recognising warmists for who they really are - loonies that should be confined in their cuckoo's nests!

The way the global warming scam is collapsing is like watching the Berlin Wall being torn down, concrete slab by concrete slab, brick by brick, with cracks appearing and widening daily on every face. Just two days ago, India questioned a key belief of climate science theology that a reduction in carbon emissions will take care of the bulk of global warming.  In a scientific paper released by the Environment Ministry, renowned physicist and the former Indian Space Research Organization (ISRO) chairman, U.R. Rao, calculated that cosmic rays — which, unlike carbon emissions, cannot be controlled by human activity — have a much larger impact on climate change than The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) claims. RK Pachauri promised to address this issue in the next IPCC report, due in 2014.

But their coup de grâce is brought home by Jairam Ramesh comments: There is a groupthink in climate science today. Anyone who raises alternative climate theories is immediately branded as a climate atheist in an atmosphere of climate evangelists.” India openly embracing climate scepticism suggests that their well funded climate advocacy has been reduced to naught in the country.

Lest we forget what the “Climate Justice Network” said about the Himalayan Glacier Melt, below are some links to remember. Enjoy.


WWF: The Himalayas – where the danger of catastrophic flooding is severe, and glacier-fed rivers supply water to one third of the world’s population. Royal Bengal tiger – endangered tigers that will lose a large portion of their worldwide habitat as the Sundarbans succumb to sea level rise. The termini of the glaciers in the Bhutan-Himalaya. Glacial lakes have been rapidly forming on the surface of the debris-covered glaciers in this region during the last few decades. According to Jeffrey Kargel, a USGS scientist, glaciers in the Himalaya are wasting at alarming and accelerating rates, as indicated by comparisons of satellite and historic data, and as shown by the widespread, rapid growth of lakes on the glacier surfaces.


Greenpeace: Glaciers in the Himalayas provide the water source for one-sixth of humanity. Now that water source is threatened by climate change. As the temperature rises, these reservoirs of ice disappear.


ChristianAid: Receding glaciers in the Himalaya will threaten the water stocks of millions of people, changes to the yearly monsoon will affect farming and rising sea levels, cyclones will threaten housing around the highly populated Bay of Bengal.


Action Aid: India has already 250 million people that live in absolute poverty with little capacity to cope with climate change.  400 million people living in the Ganga Basin will be further affected by water shortages in the near future.  Many more will be affected by floods and droughts due to erratic monsoons and the fast depletion of Himalayan glaciers.


Oxfam: Poor crop yields, water shortages and more extreme temperatures are pushing rural villagers closer to the brink as climate change grips Nepal, according to a new report launched by the international aid agency Oxfam. In the report, "Even the Himalayas Have Stopped Smiling:  Climate Change, Poverty and Adaptation in Nepal", farmers told Oxfam that changing weather patterns had dramatically affected crop production, leaving them unable to properly feed themselves and getting into debt. Oxfam called the situation "deeply worrying".

Is Winter over in Europe? Nope the worst to come late February to April


North Europe will witness unseasonably cold weather in Feb
 

Unseasonably cold weather will possibly grip northern Europe again from late February into spring, after a comparatively mild spell in late January, as stated by U. S.-based Weather Services International (WSI) on Monday. WSI thinks that the moderation in temperatures seen in late January, after the coldest December months since records began for the United Kingdom to last into early February.

But WSI the specialist for the weather-sensitive energy industry foresees abnormally cold weather returning to major part of northern Europe towards the end of next month, dragging down the average temperature for the February-April period. WSI stated that the current mild spell for most parts of northern Europe happened due to the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) oscillating from negative to positive in the month of January.

Meteorologists state that a negative NAO usually indicates to colder winters in northern Europe and WSI warned in the month of October that the negative value for the pressure difference between areas of the north Atlantic would possibly mean a very cold start and end of the winter with a mild spell in the middle. According to WSI Chief Meteorologist Todd Crawford at some point in time later in the month of February or early March, one can expect a return to more strongly negative NAO conditions.

At that point, one can expect a return to more severe and widespread below-normal temperatures across majority part of Europe, which will well last into spring. Crawford further started that the biggest uncertainty for his February forecast was that the strong negative NAO could return earlier than expected.

Bitterly cold weather in most of the parts of northern Europe at the end of 2010 drove up natural gas prices in Britain, where about two thirds of homes rely on gas for heating, as demand went up to hit record levels and exhausted stocks early in winter.


Wednesday, January 26, 2011

With Genghis Khan as their new icon, climate activists now openly flaunt their anti-human ideology





"Genghis Khan and his Mongol hordes had an impact on the global carbon cycle as big as today’s annual demand for gasoline.”
A study published by the website http://carsandpeople.sdsu.edu/ from San Diego State University goes so far to calculate one car is of 18 human equivalents. Accordingly, if Genghis Khan killed 40 million people, this is tantamount to 2,222,222 Genghis Khan Equivalents! Put simply, Genghis Khan and his Mongol hordes had an impact on the global carbon cycle as big as today’s annual demand for gasoline!

Explains Julia Pongratz of the Carnegie Institution’s Department of Global Ecology, lead author of this new study on the impact of historical events on global climate published in the January 20, 2011, online issue of The Holocene:
“It’s a common misconception that the human impact on climate began with the large-scale burning of coal and oil in the industrial era.  Actually, humans started to influence the environment thousands of years ago by changing the vegetation cover of the Earth’s landscapes when we cleared forests for agriculture....

We found that during the short events such as the Black Death and the Ming Dynasty collapse, the forest re-growth wasn’t enough to overcome the emissions from decaying material in the soil. But during the longer-lasting ones like the Mongol invasion and the conquest of the Americas there was enough time for the forests to re-grow and absorb significant amounts of carbon.”

The study claimed that the Mongol invasion scrubbed off nearly 700 million tons of carbon from the atmosphere, cooling the planet as it roughly equals the amount of carbon global society now produces annually from gasoline.  Climate Depot further reported that the study concluded:
“Over the course of the century and a half run of the Mongol Empire, about 22 percent of the world's total land area had been conquered and an estimated 40 million people were slaughtered by the horse-driven, bow-wielding hordes. Depopulation over such a large swath of land meant that countless numbers of cultivated fields eventually returned to forests.

In other words, one effect of Genghis Khan's unrelenting invasion was widespread reforestation, and the re-growth of those forests meant that more carbon could be absorbed from the atmosphere...the longevity of the Mongol invasion made it stand out as having the biggest impact on the world's climate."
Ironically, in their enthusiasm to crown Genghis Khan as their new icon, climate activists turn a blind eye to his true legacy.  Khan's empire at the time of his death extended across Asia - from the Pacific Ocean to the Caspian Sea. His military conquests were frequently characterized by the wholesale slaughter of the vanquished. His descendants extended the empire and maintained power in the region for several hundred years, in civilizations in which harems and concubines were the norm. And the males were markedly prolific according to a study published in 2003 in the American Journal of Human Genetics.



Khan's eldest son, Tushi, is reported to have had 40 sons. Documents written during or just after Khan's reign say that after a conquest, looting, pillaging, and rape were the spoils of war for all soldiers, but that Khan got first pick of the beautiful women. His grandson, Kubilai Khan, who established the Yuan Dynasty in China, had 22 legitimate sons, and was reported to have added 30 virgins to his harem each year. The result, the study estimated 0.5% of all males in the world or 16 million of the world’s population are descendents of Genghis Khan! This excludes those of his army of beasts who raped women at will. So much for Khan and the Mongols depopulating the world!

With Genghis Khan as the new icon, climate activist openly flaunts their anti-life ideology. The latter underpins the foundation of global warmist ideology as they have termed C02, a life giving molecule as a pollutant. The reality is that carbon is the building block for all life on earth. Carbon dioxide is a tiny part of the atmosphere, yet it sustains all life on earth. It is an indisputable fact that vegetation growth and production is enhanced in direct proportion to increased atmospheric carbon dioxide. It provides all of the food and most the energy for the human race. Yet, global warmists want its elimination, and accordingly life itself

That they are not-so-much against life as they are against human life forms is illustrated by a former leader of People for the Ethical Treatment of Animals once declared that "humans have grown like a cancer; we're the biggest blight on the face of the earth." This ideology again leads some to openly discuss the need for “culling” the human race, as if people were livestock.

The so-called Climate Justice Movement comprising a coalition of environmental organizations like WWF, Greenpeace etc and NGOs like Oxfam, Christian Aid etc through their policy of supporting bio-fuels and carbon trading have helped operationalized this covert human culling programme. Bio-energy led to: 

·         massive displacement of land and farm capacity from food into non-food production;
·         lowering global production of grains and other staples; and
·      marginalization of farm regions, resulting from both decades of globalization, and today's "anti-global warming" scam.   
 

The disastrous impact of the global bio-energy has resulted in price shocks all along the food chain internationally. Straining of water supply sources and soil infertility lay conditions for famine. At the same time, speculation in grain futures on commodity exchanges is setting records. Furthermore, farmers are being herded into participating in "carbon trading". 

The result is the World Health Organization (WHO) estimates that over a billion people suffer from mass starvation and nutritional deficiencies. Price escalation of food commodities that put them out of reach of most vulnerable poor communities have led to increasing food riots all over the world. Having contributed to increasing world hunger, the likes of Oxfam and Christian Aid even have the audacity to champion the cause of eliminating world hunger. How thick skin can they get? Even Al Gore has apologized for advocating bio-fuels, but not the likes of Christian Aid and Oxfam.
  
Patrick Moore, a founding member of Greenpeace, left Greenpeace in the 1980s because it adopted what he described as an “anti-human” and “anti-science” agenda:  
“I don’t believe that there is a climate catastrophe; I don’t use the word chaos or disaster to describe the present changes in climate, which are well within natural variations that have occurred in the past history of the earth. Global warming policies that interfere with economic development and disease prevention should be properly viewed an affront to civil rights and human rights”.

Tuesday, January 25, 2011

NASA terms ongoing Indian winter as ‘deadly' - Hindu Businessline





The US National Aeronautical and Space Administration (NASA) has termed as ‘deadly' the 2010-11 winter bearing down on north India. The cold even reached the city of Agra, where the mercury plunged to only one degree above freezing, NASA said in a recent report.

DENSE HAZE

Northern parts of the country have been chilled by the cold wave that prompted officials to distribute blankets and firewood to those in the usually temperate region but without adequate shelter.

An image taken by NASA's Terra satellite on January 14 showed a dense haze stretching from the foothills of the Himalayas southward into the metropolitan areas of New Delhi, Lucknow, Patna and Kolkata. The haze was due to a combination of cold-weather fog thinning during the daytime, burning of wood and other fuels to battle the chill as well as farmers setting agricultural burns typical of the season.

POOR VISIBILITY

The ensuing smoke reduced visibility caused extensive disruption to rail, road and air transportation across the region over the past three weeks.

Meanwhile, the Nasa report coincided with the latest national agro-met advisory bulletin brought out by the India Meteorological Department (IMD) that called on farmers to arrange for more smoking around the field to prevent the crops from cold/frost injury.

Minimum temperatures have been below normal by 3 to 5 deg Celsius over parts of Punjab, Uttar Pradesh, east Madhya Pradesh, north Chhattisgarh, Bihar, Jharkhand and interior Orissa, the IMD report said. Farmers in these regions have also been advised to apply light and frequent irrigation to the standing crops.

SOUTHERN COLD

In Telangana and Rayalaseema in peninsular India, the nurseries of vegetables may be covered with polythene sheet to protect seedlings from cold/frost injury.

But low temperature conditions prevailing in Punjab and Uttar Pradesh are favourable for the wheat crop which is at tillering stage. However, frost damage of potato has been reported in parts of Uttarakhand. Frost has been reported also from Malwa plateau in Madhya Pradesh. The bulletin advised farmers to apply light and frequent irrigation to standing crops and arrange for smoking around the field. Nurseries of the vegetable crops are particularly vulnerable and should be protected by covering with plastic sheets.

MAIZE CROP

Taking the advantage of mostly dry weather in several parts of the country, farmers were advised to adopt intercultural operation to the crops followed by irrigation.

As the maize crop is sensitive to moisture and nutrients, stress irrigation and nutrient management have been advised for better yields and to help the cob attain full length with good quality grains.

TOMATO

Tomato may be adversely affected due to frost in Meghalaya and needs irrigation. Early harvesting may also be useful in saving the crop, the bulletin said.

Crops are in good condition in southern States of the country. However, given lack of any significant rain, irrigation may be applied to the standing crops to ensure good harvest.

Friday, January 21, 2011

Breaking: Indian Environment Ministry formally challenges Human induced Global Warming, Encourage Climate Scepticism



Jairam Ramesh, India's dynamic Environment Minister has done it again. A paper published by his ministry termed UN Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC)'s claim on human induced global warming, as highly exaggerated as the latter's impact is significantly reduced by Galactic Cosmic Rays (GCRs) that is responsible for low cloud formation over earth in the last 150 years. 

The paper's lead author was U R Rao, former chairman of Indian Space Research Organisation (ISRO) and was released by Jairam Ramesh himself. Analyzing the data between 1960 and 2005, Rao found that lesser GCRs were reaching the earth due to increase in solar magnetic field and thereby leading to increase in global warming. Says the paper:
 “We conclude that the contribution to climate change due to the change in galactic cosmic ray intensity is quite significant and needs to be factored into the prediction of global warming and its effect on sea level raise and weather prediction.” 



The Hindustan Times further reported:
"Consequently the contribution of increased CO2 emission to be observed global warming of 0.75 degree Celsius would only be 0.42 degree Celsius, considerably less than what predicted by IPCC," the paper said to be published in Indian Journal Current Science had said. This is about 44 % less than what IPCC!

I just want to expand scientific debate on impact of non-Green House Gases on climate change, Ramesh said, when asked whether he was again challenging the IPCC. "Science is all about raising questions.... Climate science is much more complex than attributing everything to CO2, said Subodh Verma, climate change advisor in the Environment ministry."
According to the latest report by the IPCC, all human activity, including carbon dioxide emissions, contribute 1.6 watts/sq.m to global warming, while other factors such as solar irradiance contribute just 0.12 watts/sq.m. However, Dr. Rao's paper calculates that the effect of cosmic rays contributes 1.1 watts/sq.m, taking the total contribution of non-human activity factors to 1.22 watts/sq.m.

The continuing increase in solar activity has caused a 9 per cent decrease in cosmic ray intensity over the last 150 years, which results in less cloud cover, which in turn results in less albedo radiation being reflected back to the space, causing an increase in the Earth's surface temperature.

While the impact of cosmic rays on climate change has been studied before, Dr. Rao's paper quantifies their contribution to global warming and concludes that
“the future prediction of global warming presented by IPCC's fourth report requires a relook to take into the effect due to long term changes in the galactic cosmic ray intensity.”
This could have serious policy implications. If human activity cannot influence such a significant cause of climate change as cosmic rays, it could change the kind of pressure put on countries to reduce carbon dioxide emissions.

To the runup to the Copenhagen Climate meet, Jairam Ramesh's ministry similarly released a paper that cock a snoot at the UN Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC)'s claim that most of the Himalayan glaciers will melt by 2035. IMr. Ramesh had then released a report by glaciologist V.K. Raina claiming that Himalayan glaciers are not all retreating at an alarming pace. It had been disputed by many Western scientists, while IPCC chairman R.K. Pachauri dismissed it as “voodoo science.” However, Dr. Raina was later vindicated by the IPCC's own retraction of its claim that the Himalayan glaciers would melt by 2035. 
Together with Climategate, leaked emails of the Climate Research Unit of East Anglia, UK, the Himalayan Glacier error opened the floodgates for climate sceptic attack that literally tore into tatters the credibility of IPCC's reports so much the organization had to appoint an external review whose recommendations it uses to currently restructure its procedures. No wonder, Pachauri isn’t taking any chances. He promised the Government of India that the impact of GCRs on global warming will be studied in depth in the fifth assessment report to be published in 2013-14. In its earlier four assessment reports, IPCC had not studied the impact of GCRs in detail.

The Hindu  further reported:  
“Since then, Western Ministers have reduced talk about the glaciers to me, they have stopped using it as frequently as a pressure point for India to come on board,” said Mr. Ramesh."
Impact of GCRs on global warming had been highly controversial since 1998, when Henrik Svensmark of Danish National Space Center said it was causing global warming. A decade later a joint European study debunked the claim, saying there was no correlation. Now the UR Rao paper has given a new life for the theory.

The real blow to the global warmist movement is when Jairam Ramesh defended climate skepticism and cautioned against foreign funded agendas of environmental organizations and NGOs like WWF, Greenpeace, Oxfam, Christian Aid, ActionAid  in the name of Climate Justice activism etc 
“There is a groupthink in climate science today. Anyone who raises alternative climate theories is immediately branded as a climate atheist in an atmosphere of climate evangelists,” he said. “Climate science is incredibly more complex than [developed countries] negotiators make it out to be… Climate science should not be driven by the West. We should not always be dependent on outside reports.”