The troubles of Tamil population in East Sri
Lanka appear never ending. The heaviest rain in 18 years flooded Sri Lanka left
about 11 dead. Mudslides caused by heavy rains and floods in Sri Lanka have
additionally killed another ten people. These floods were especially bad
news for people in the East, who in recent years have also endured a civil war
and a tsunami.
The Disaster Management Center said more than millions have been affected by
the rains, with 1 million becoming homeless. Mervyn Fletcher of the UN explains
from Colombo: "That
means they have either been forced from their homes or have seen their property
flooded”. Floods have besides left marooning traffic and submerged the
country's Parliament in four feet of water. Sri Lanka's president had to
abandon a visit to areas hit by flooding. The flooding has reportedly swelled
ponds and reservoirs to bursting, and the flow is wrecking rice paddies.
The government said the worst-affected areas include Batticaloa, Ampara,
Trincomalee, Polonnaruwa, Nuwara Eliya, Moneragala, Kandy, Badulla and Kegalle
districts. The Eastern Province is the worst affected with over 860,000 flood
victims according to the latest figures released by the Disaster Management
Centre with many villages in Eastern Province inundated, with some cut off from
supplies, including 9 villages in Muttur area of eastern Trincomalee district
being isolated with only sea access.
The Director General of Disaster Management
Centre stated that Batticaloa District is worst hit by the floods with 533,000
people belonging to 30,264 families have been displaced. He said eight deaths
have been reported from the district and 225 displaced camps have been set up
in the district. Batticaloa District is experiencing a rainfall of 113mm/day
continuously. Yesterday it had been 200mm.
India will be sending tomorrow 25 metric
tons of relief material, including food, drinking water, water purifying
tablets, sleeping mats, blankets, and bed sheets on an Indian Air Force
transport aircraft, IL76 in two sorties. Food items to be sent will include
ready-to-eat meals, sugar, pulses, milk powder, baby milk formula, salt and
other essential seasoning powders.
Tens of thousands of people are in need of food and medical supplies and stocks
are quickly running out. Two youth were electrocuted when they climbed a tree
to avoid raging flood waters in a village of Ariyampathu, south of the eastern
capital of Batticaloa. A BBC report quoted people in some remote areas as
saying they have not received any aid from agencies or the government and some
of the affected people in makeshift camps were going without food.
The Sri Lankan government however claims that they have deployed naval forces
to transport cooked meals to areas where roads are submerged under water.
Submerged roads are proving the main obstacle in getting food to affected
people. Major General Hettiarachchi admitted in Batticaloa District, air force
helicopters had been deployed to distribute relief and to rescue the affected
people but they could not be taken off the ground due to bad weather yesterday
as well.
The Sri Lankan government has also appealed
to the public to donate items including drinking water, mattresses, bed sheets
and dry rations. Sewage lines and tanks have overflowed in many villages and
authorities are concerned about diseases like typhoid and diarrhoea. A
BBC blog gives excellent clues on the challenges facing the humanitarian
response:
"Access to clean water is becoming a major problem and we and
other agencies are distributing purification tablets." The UN says that
crocodiles and snakes are a threat to anyone wading through the flood waters.
Mr Fletcher said that the floods were especially bad news for people in the
east, who in recent years have also endured a civil war and a tsunami. Food
shortages The floods have left some stretches of railway line under nearly a
metre of water.
Officials in Ampara say the rainfall there since Saturday has been the highest
ever recorded in such a short time. Flood victims in Sri Lanka Over a million
people have seen their homes flooded There is a shortage of food for
children," a member of Sri Lanka's minority Muslim community in Ampara
told Tamil on Wednesday. "In the morning we were forced to divide a single
breakfast food parcel into four and give it to our four children. We have
not got any help from the government. But the local people – especially the
rich – have come forward and helped us. We are only getting something to eat
because of their generosity.
A number of big reservoirs have burst their banks, destroying paddy fields in a
major rice-growing area. People in some remote areas on Wednesday told the they
had seen no sign of aid agencies or government relief, and that some people in
makeshift camps had been missing out on meals.
People in Batticaloa district told the Tamil service on Wednesday that they had
done their best to stay in their villages, but had been forced to flee in the
end. The air force has helped evacuate people and drop food supplies to some
cut-off communities. The government has made an emergency appeal for ordinary
people's help in sending dry rations, mattresses and bottled water. Deputy
Disaster Management Minister Duleep Wijesekara said on Wednesday that some
places, such as Muttur, had been difficult to reach. "I boarded a
high-speed navy boat to get there to Muttur, but due to the huge waves we had
to turn back after sailing for about 15km. After that we had to send food in by
air," he said. The floods bring a risk of disease, including the
mosquito-borne dengue fever, which even in normal times is a severe problem in
the country"
Google has provided a map (above) that identifies the
main flood-affected regions, sites where relief and rescue operations have been
conducted, areas prone to landslides and specific locations that are at
risk. Please click on the link below the map to view it on a larger
screen. Read more here for updates and to
click on individual markers for detailed information or zoom in to view
the location of specific shelter camps located in the east.
Sri Lanka Faces La Nina’s Wrath
The Sri Lankan Met Dept indicated the magnitude of the
rainfall:
"The
Batticaloa District has received a rainfall of 1606.2 mm just in 42 days during
the period from 1st December 2010 to 12th January 2011, almost equal to its
total annual rainfall. The total rainfall experienced in Batticaloa from
January 1st to 12th of this month is 894.8 mm. The annual total rainfall of the
district was 1650.9 mm.
Similarly
at Trincomalee a rainfall of 1030.6 mm. has been received during the same
period while its annual rainfall was 1580.1 mm."
With nightmarish floods in Queensland, Australia and now
in Sri Lanka, global warmists can be only expected to flog the dead horse
“climate change”. One media report goes as so:
“Climate
change has likely intensified the monsoon rains that have triggered record
floods in Australia’s Queensland state, scientists said on Wednesday, with
several months of heavy rain and storms still to come.”
So let’s assume that it was that awful CO2 in the atmosphere that led to global
warming that caused the Queensland floods this year. But how would these global
warmist characters explain similar floods in the 19th Century in Queensland, at
the start of industrialization when CO2 levels were a fraction of what it is
today?
1841 - 17th January: Highest
flood on record occurred at Brisbane and Ipswich.
1844 - 10th January: Heavy floods at Ipswich.
1845 - 17th December: Flood at Ipswich.
1852 - 11th April: Heavy floods at Brisbane and Ipswich.
1857 - 19th and 20th May: Great floods at Ipswich and Brisbane; river at
Ipswich rose 45 feet, and at Brisbane 12 feet.
All these 19th century floods were double the depth of the current
Queensland floods, when there were no SUVs whom global warmists blame for all
weather extremes we face today. More importantly, all these flood years were La
Nina years, just as it is this year (2010-2011).
So is it a coincidence? As our archive posts indicate, we do not consider such
floods a mere coincidence but a manifest of La Nina, particularly a strong one.
As illustrated in the graph given above (reproduced from one of our archives - Strong La Nina: Bundle up, Monster
Winter Ahead! October 7, 2010); the areas coloured in blue that
includes Sri Lanka and Australia are those vulnerable to flooding during a La
Nina.
So what’s a La Nina? It’s the climatic and natural phenomenon where the central
pacific ocean cools, accompanied by an increase of natural disasters globally.
At the time we wrote our archive post “Disasters to Surge as La Nina Returns”
with dateline July 17 2010, we assumed a moderate to strong La Nina that was in
the offing as the phenomenon was still its early development stages. Since then
with Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) touching27 (see graph below), the current
La Nina is proving to be a monster and likely to be the strongest on record,
though this could be only confirmed only after the event ceases.
[Sustained positive values of the SOI above
+8 may indicate a La Niña event, while sustained negative values below −8 may
indicate an El Niño event. Values of between about +8 and −8 generally indicate
neutral conditions.]
Most computer models initially forecasted the La Nina to peak sometime Oct-Dec
last year. Now nearly all models indicate that La Niña (Niño-3.4 SST anomalies
-0.5˚C or less) will persist at least into the Northern Hemisphere spring 2011.
But the Japan Meteorological Agency (JPA) forecasts possible strengthening is
expected till Northern hemisphere winter this year and its effects will linger
on into the first quarter of 2012. This blog has been using the JPA
forecast as an assumption in all our previous La Nina related posts.
The monster intensity and extended duration of the current La Nina accordingly
explains the Queensland and Sri Lankan floods. The island's two main monsoon
seasons run from May to September and December to February. La Nina tends to
accentuate the monsoons. It’s eastern city of Batticaloa was pounded by
repeated cloudbursts that left more than 28 inches, or 72 cm, of rain within
four days as of Wednesday. Alone, more than one foot of rain fell with 24 hours
at the end of last week. According to Accuweather:
“January normally marks the tail end of the rainy season in eastern Sri
Lanka, where normal monthly rainfall is upwards of one foot, or 30 cm. However,
these outbursts were abnormal in their intensity and persistence... The area
will be prone to further flooding downpours through the end of the week.”
Meanwhile Colombo Page reported that meteorologists have forecasted more heavy
rains and strong winds in the already ravaged eastern, north central and
central provinces. Some of those areas also were placed under landslide
warnings. The Sri Lankan Met Office also confirmed their opinion of the cause
of the floods:
"Stating that the current bad weather is a result of Sri Lanka
being affected by the La Nina phenomenon that had hit the entire globe, the
Department of Meteorology warned that the country should be prepared to face
any weather condition in the future.
Department of Meteorology Director General P. B. Samarasinghe told at a news
conference as the amount of rains which the country is "experiencing have
increased by 100 percent."
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