Greenpeace
trumpeted the alarm that glaciers in Greenland were melting at a rapid pace
because of global warming. They made a central piece of their climate change
campaign.In 2009, being
pressurized by BBC reporter Stephen Sackur on the “Hardtalk” program, Gerd Leipold, the ex-chief of Greenpeace,
said the claim was probably wrong.
“I don’t think it will be melting by 2030. … That may have been a
mistake,” he said.
Sackur said the
claim was inaccurate on two fronts, pointing out that the Arctic ice is a mass
of 1.6 million square kilometers with a thickness of 3 km in the middle, and
that it had survived much warmer periods in history than the present.
Now a peer reviewed
study of Greenland's climate history suggests frequent violent shifts,
confirming the existence of the Medieval Warm Period (MWP) and Little Ice Age
(LIA) periods. During MWP, the climate was so warm that Vikings took up farming
and dairying while the advent of the LIA saw Viking colonalization of Greenland
come to an end. The climate history of Greenland accordingly suggests that
warming and cooling occurs without any correlation to the use of fossil fuels
or our lifestyles.
Researchers from Brown
University made a reconstruction of 5,600 years of climate history from lakes
near the Norse settlement in western Greenland. Their findings appeared in
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences.
Did Global
Cooling Drive The Vikings From Greenland?
William D'Andrea, right, and Yongsong
Huang took cores from two lakes in Greenland to reconstruct 5,600 years of
climate history near the Norse Western Settlement. Credit: William
D'Andrea&Brown University
Contrary to what you might think by the name,
Greenland is rather frigid and Iceland is often quite nice. Nice for
Vikings, anyway. But for a time Greenland became so miserable even
Scandinavians had enough.
Scientists have examined 5,600 years of
climate history from two lakes in Kangerlussuaq, near the Norse "Western
Settlement." Unlike ice cores taken from the Greenland ice sheet
hundreds of miles inland, the new lake core measurements reflect air
temperatures where Vikings lived in the 14th and 15 centuries, as well as those
experienced by the Saqqaq and the Dorset, Stone Age cultures that preceded
them. What climate scientists have been able to ascertain is that an
extended cold snap, called the Little Ice Age, gripped Greenland beginning in
the 1400s, and that has been cited as a major cause of the Norse's
disappearance. New research shows the climate turned colder in an earlier span
of several decades, setting in motion the end of the Greenland Norse.
The Vikings arrived in Greenland in the 980s,
establishing a string of small communities along Greenland's west coast.
Another grouping of communities, called the "Eastern Settlement" also was
located on the west coast but farther south on the island. The arrival
coincided with a time of comparatively mild weather, similar to that in
Greenland today, but beginning around 1100, the climate began an 80-year period
in which temperatures dropped 4 degrees Celsius/7 degrees Fahrenheit,
scientists concluded from the lake readings.
While that may not be considered precipitous,
especially in the summer, the change could have ushered in a number of hazards,
including shorter crop-growing seasons, less available food for livestock and
more sea ice that may have blocked trade.
Archaeological and written records show the
Western Settlement persisted until sometime around the mid-1300s. The Eastern
Settlement is believed to have vanished in the first two decades of the 1400s.
The researchers also examined how climate
affected the Saqqaq and Dorset peoples. The Saqqaq arrived in Greenland around
2500 B.C. While there were warm and cold swings in temperature for centuries
after their arrival, the climate took a turn for the bitter beginning roughly
850 B.C., the scientists found.
"There is a major climate shift at this
time," says William D'Andrea, a postdoctoral researcher at the
University of Massachusetts–Amherst. "It seems that it's not as much the speed of
the cooling as the amplitude of the cooling. It gets much colder."
The Saqqaq exit coincides with the arrival of
the Dorset people, who were more accustomed to hunting from the sea ice that
would have accumulated with the colder climate at the time. Yet by around 50
B.C., the Dorset culture was waning in western Greenland, despite its affinity
for cold weather.
"It is possible that it got so cold they left, but there has to be
more to it than that," D'Andrea said.
"The record shows how quickly temperature changed in the region
and by how much," said co-author Yongsong Huang, professor of
geological sciences at Brown, principal investigator of the PNAS study.
"It is
interesting to consider how rapid climate change may have impacted past societies,
particularly in light of the rapid changes taking place today."
Climate may not have been the biggest factor
in the demise of the Norse Western Settlement. The Vikings' sedentary
lifestyle, reliance on agriculture and livestock for food, dependence on trade
with Scandinavia and combative relations with the neighboring Inuit are also
believed to be contributing factors.
No comments:
Post a Comment