January 16, 2012: The active western
disturbance over northwest India has delivered an ace in the form of an induced
cyclonic circulation, triggering heavy weather.
This is the second successive western
disturbance featuring the ‘playmaker’ cyclonic circulation, signalling
the intensity of the parent system.
ADDITIONAL MOISTURE
The tendency for cyclonic circulations to get
‘induced’ is most pronounced when amply endowed western disturbance
cross into the northwest India.
The cyclonic circulation in turn mops up
incremental moisture from north Arabian Sea and helps accentuate prevailing
weather over hills and plains of northwest India.
A weather warning issued by India
Meteorological Department (IMD) said that heavy rain or snow would be unleashed
over parts of Jammu and Kashmir, Himachal Pradesh and Uttrakhand on Tuesday.
A hailstorm warning is also in place for one
or two places in Punjab, Haryana, Delhi, north Rajasthan and west Uttar
Pradesh.
EASTWARD BOUND
The western disturbance is expected to
continue to affect the western Himalayan region and adjoining plains of
northwest India during next two days.
The induced upper air cyclonic circulation
was located to over northwest Rajasthan and neighborhood on Monday.
Both will now move eastwards in tandem
bringing wet weather over northeast India in phases.
While doing so, the ‘sinking motion’
of air in the rear of the system would once again trigger a cold snap over
northwest and adjoining central India.
Insat cloud imagery on Monday showed
convective clouds over rising over parts of Jammu and Kashmir.
COLD WAVE
Low to medium-high clouds were seen over
parts of rest western Himalayan region, Punjab, Haryana, Rajasthan and west
Uttar Pradesh.
A short-term forecast for the next two says
said that rain or snow would occur at most places over western Himalayan region
on Tuesday and at a few places thereafter.
Rain or thundershowers has also been forecast
at a few places over the plains of northwest India.
Minimum temperatures would fall by 3 to 6 deg
Celsius over parts of northwest and adjoining central India during next two to
three days ahead of the next cold wave.
Karnatak facing cold wave, with temps 9c below normal. Mysore at 7.7c ! Bangalore 12c and Chennai 18c. Medikeri was 4.8c !
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