Hopefully the withdrawal this season starts around last week or end of September. This will provide soil moisture for early rabi sowing and fill our reservoirs to more comfortable levels.
In the past few years, low-pressure areas have developed over west central and northwest Bay of Bengal during the fag end of the season, leading to enhanced moisture incursion over the region and presence of cyclonic circulations over northwest India. This locks up the steam of clouds and extends the rainy season.
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