(Ice Age Now) The International Panel on Climate Change has predicted a sea level rise (SLR) of 100 cm by the year 2100. Unfortunately facts are not bearing out that conclusion.
A.A. Boretti an Australian scientist has been using satellite radar altimeter data covering the past 20 year period. What he discovered is that the average rate of SLR is just under 3.2 mm a year. Which at that rate would only bring the SLR to just under 32 cm by the year 2100, not the 100 cm that is currently being advocated.
Boretti also notes that there has been a huge deceleration of SLR over the past 10 years and even more so in the last 5 years.
”in order for the prediction of a 100-cm increase in sea level by 2100 to be correct, the SLR must be almost 11 mm/year every year for the next 89 years,”He went on to say,
”Since the SLR is dropping, the predictions become increasingly unlikely,” especially in view of the facts that (1) “not once in the past 20 years has the SLR of 11 mm/year ever been achieved,” and that (2) “the average SLR of 3.1640 mm/year is only 20% of the SLR needed for the prediction of a one meter rise to be correct.”See also:
Nongovernmental International Panel on Climate Change.
Sunday, September 23, 2012
New Paper: Global Sea Level Decelerating
Posted by Rajan Alexander at 11:37 PM