Nature Geoscience (2012)
doi:10.1038/ngeo1619
Received
03 August
2012
Accepted
04
October 2012
Published
online
11
November 2012
Considerable climatic variability
on decadal to millennial timescales has been documented for the past 11,500
years of interglacial climate. This variability has been particularly
pronounced at a frequency of about 1,500 years, with repeated cold intervals in
the North Atlantic However, there is growing evidence
that these oscillations originate from a cluster of different spectral
signaturs, ranging from a 2,500-year cycle
throughout the period to a 1,000-year cycle during the earliest millennia. Here
we present a reappraisal of high-energy estuarine and coastal sedimentary
records from the southern coast of the English Channel, and report evidence for
five distinct periods during the Holocene when storminess was enhanced during
the past 6,500 years.
We find
that high storm activity occurred periodically with a frequency of about 1,500
years, closely related to cold and windy periods diagnosed earlier. We show that millennial-scale
storm extremes in northern Europe are phase-locked with the period of internal
ocean variability in the North Atlantic of about 1,500 years. However, no
consistent correlation emerges between spectral maxima in records of storminess
and solar irradiation. We conclude that solar activity changes are unlikely to be
a primary forcing mechanism of millennial-scale variability in storminess.
Paraphrasing Richard Feynman: Regardless of how many experts believe it or how many organizations concur, if it doesn’t agree with observation, it’s wrong.
ReplyDeleteThe IPCC, some politicians and many others stubbornly continue to proclaim that increased atmospheric carbon dioxide was the primary cause of global warming. Measurements demonstrate that they are wrong.
The average global temperature trend has been flat since 2001. No amount of spin can rationalize that the temperature increase to 2001 was caused by CO2 increase but that 25.9% additional CO2 increase had no effect on the average global temperature trend after 2001.
Without human caused global warming there can be no human caused climate change.
Average GLOBAL temperature anomalies are reported on the web by NOAA, GISS, Hadley, RSS, and UAH, all of which are government agencies. The first three all draw from the same data base of surface measurement data. The last two draw from the data base of satellite measurements. Each agency processes the data slightly differently from the others. Each believes that their way is most accurate. To avoid bias, I average all five. The averages are listed here.
2001 0.3473
2002 0.4278
2003 0.4245
2004 0.3641
2005 0.4663
2006 0.3930
2007 0.4030
2008 0.2598
2009 0.4022
2010 0.5298
2011 0.3316
A straight line (trend line) fit to these data has no slope. That means that, for over a decade, average global temperature has not changed. If the average thru September, 2012 (0.3526) is included, the slope is down.
See, with 88% accuracy, what really caused the warm up during the 20th century and what caused it to stop warming at http://climaterealists.com/index.php?tid=145&linkbox=true