Even the rapid intensification India Met had forecasted of the system in Arabian Sea failed to materialise. However the IMD confirmed today that the low has started intensifying without specifying whether it would develop into cyclonic strength.
However, the system now has only winds gusting up to 60-62 Kph which makes its prospects of developing into cyclonic strength looks rather bleak. It best could intensify into a tropical storm Nanauk On Thursday, June 12, 2014 when it is likely to disintegrate. Forecasters are still in two minds whether it could move to Oman or North Gujarat, though they feel the latter has better probability..
Nonetheless, the development should bring cheers to many places in the west coast that should see good to very good rainfall....
(Vinson Kurian in TheHinduBusinessLine) Outlook on the monsoon remained unchanged from yesterday except that India Met Department has said that the brewing 'low' in the Arabian Sea would intensify.The Met had earlier indicated that the system could go in for rapid intensification off the Lakshadweep Islands.A surge in monsoon flows is expected after the 'low' forms since they would henceforth have a central point to rally around.This would also translate into heavy rains for the west coast as a whole with Kerala, Karnataka and Konkan being immediate beneficiaries.It is partly cloudy this morning in Thiruvananthapuram with the Sun being able to peep out frequently, indicating lack of desired cloud cover.But the humidity (moisture content in the air) levels are sufficiently high to trigger a thundershower or two during the course of the day.