(MoneyControl) Private
weather foreaster Skymet Weather Services has said monsoon has touched upon
southern India and rainfall activity in Kerala has been good so far.
The assertion is in direct
contrast to India's official weather forecaster Indian Meteorological
Department which says Kerala had missed its pre-determined date with Monsoon on
June 1 and may hit Kerala coasts on Friday, after a delay of five days. But Skymet's director GP Sharma maintain
their forecast on Kerala has been correct. Speaking to CNBC-TV18, he says
rainfall activity in the state has been good.
He agrees that monsoon will
be weak this year with the country's northwest and the central parts likely to
witness drought. He names, Maharashtra, parts of Punjab and Haryana as the
possible victims of dry spell. The slowdown in rainfall was predicted due to El
Nino which is a weather phenomenon that warms up the temperature of the oceans
affecting rainfall in several parts of the world.
According to Sharma, the
chances of El Nino are around 70 percent in summers and around 80 percent in
winters and is unlikely to have much impact in June and July. However, August
may be a crucial month to watch out for. The Indian Meteorological Department
had earlier said that rainfall this year will be below expectations. It had
forecasted the southwest monsoons at 95 percent of LPA (long period avg) where
96-104 percent of LPA is considered to be normal.
The Indian Meteorological
Department had earlier said that rainfall this year will be below expectations.
It had forecasted the southwest monsoons at 95 percent of LPA (long period avg)
where 96-104 percent of LPA is considered to be normal.
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