(NewYork Times) The annual
United Nations climate change negotiations drew to a close here late Saturday
after the customary all-night negotiating session and the recriminations over
who should bear the costs and burdens of a warming planet.
Delegates from more than
190 nations agreed to extend the increasingly ineffective Kyoto Protocol for a
few more years and to commit to more ambitious — but unspecified — actions to
reduce emissions of climate-altering gases.
Wealthy nations put off for
a year resolution of the dispute over providing billions of dollars in aid to
countries most heavily affected by climate change. Industrial nations have
pledged to secure $100 billion a year by 2020 in public and private financing
to help poor countries cope with climate change, but have been vague about what
they plan to do before then.
Only a handful of
countries, not including the United States, have made concrete financial
pledges for adaptation aid over the next few years.
The participants noted with
“grave concern” the widening gap between what countries have promised to do to
reduce emissions and the growing concentration of greenhouse gases in the
atmosphere. The parties declared it unlikely that on the current path the world
would be able to keep global temperatures from rising less than two degrees
Celsius (3.6 degrees Fahrenheit) from pre-industrial times, a central goal of
the United Nations process.
But the group left for
future years any plan for addressing the mismatch between goals and reality,
merely stating an intention to
“identify and explore in 2013 options for a
range of actions to close the pre-2020 ambition gap.”
The accomplishments of this
year’s meeting of the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change
were modest, but so were its aims.
The meeting, formally known
as the 18th Conference of the Parties, or COP 18, was always seen as a
transition from the longstanding division of nations into industrialized
perpetrators and developing-world victims of dangerous climate change. That division
was enshrined in the Kyoto Protocol, which the United States never joined,
which assigned pollution reduction targets to advanced nations but none to
developing countries, including the world’s largest greenhouse gas emitter,
China.
The parties agreed last
year in Durban, South Africa, to work toward a new protocol or other legally
binding instrument that would require actions of all parties, not just rich
nations as under the Kyoto agreement of 1997. The new agreement is to be
concluded by 2015 and enter into force in 2020.
The Doha meeting did not
produce even the barest outline of what that new agreement would look like,
leaving those questions for future meetings.
The convention addressed
the relatively new concept of loss and damage, recognizing the increasing
frequency of extreme weather events as well as slower-acting threats like
drought and sea level rise. The body adopted language urging increased
financial and technical support for the most vulnerable countries.
But it did not create a specific
mechanism to handle such aid, angering some delegates.
“We are facing day in and
day out the adverse effects of climate change,”
Mohammed Chowdhury from
Bangladesh, representing the group of poorest countries, said at a session late
Friday night.
“Nobody is there to rescue them.”
In an interview with The
Associated Press, Mr. Chowdjury cited the huge funding President Obama is
seeking from Congress for Hurricane Sandy.
“But we won’t get that
scale and magnitude of support,” he said.
It has long been clear that
the United Nations talks were at best a partial solution to the planetary
climate change problem, and at worst an expensive sideshow. The most effective
actions to date have been taken at the national, state and local levels, with a
number of countries adopting aggressive emissions reductions programs and using
cap-and-trade programs or other means to help finance them.
While the United States has
not adopted a comprehensive approach to climate change, the Obama
administration has put in place a significant auto emissions reduction program
and a plan to regulate carbon dioxide from new power plants. California has
adopted a cap-and-trade system for 2013.
Other countries, including
Korea, Australia and most of Europe, started earlier and have gone much
further. It is those kinds of efforts that hold the most promise, at least in
the short term, for controlling a problem that scientists say is growing worse
faster than any of them predicted even a few years ago.
“What this meeting
reinforced is that while this is an important forum, it is not the only one in
which progress can and must be made,”
said Jennifer Haverkamp,
director of the international climate programs at the Environmental Defense
Fund and a veteran observer of these talks.
“The disconnect between the
level of ambition the parties are showing here and what needs to happen to
avoid dangerous climate change is profound.”
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