Friday, October 11, 2013

Cyclone Phailin Update for Dummies

PHAILIN officially became a Super Cyclonic Storm short time ago packing sustained winds in excess of 250km per hour.

Super Cyclonic Storm PHAILIN: SNAPSHOT

Time: 04:00UTC on October 11, 2013
Movement: WNW – 285 degrees @ 10km/hr
Position: Near 16.1ºN, 88.4ºE
Max Sustained Winds: 260km/hr  [Super Cyclonic Storm]
Max Wind Gusts: 320km/hr
Estimated Landfall Location and Time:  Near Srikakulam, Andhra Pradesh, India at about 11:00UTC on October 12, 2013. [NOTE: JTWC forecat landfall position: Near 18.95ºN 84.66ºE ]
Source: FIRE-EARTH, JTWC and others


PHAILIN is expected to strengthen further [sustained wind of 270-275km/hr, wind gusts of up to 330km/hr ] and would likely make landfall with super cyclonic force.

The potentially deadly storm WILL impact East India’s entire coastline, as well as most of Bangladesh.


Indian authorities have issued a cyclone high alert for nine coastal districts of Andhra Pradesh.

Mass evacuations are underway.

All 14 coastal districts in Odisha have been put on high alert, five of them – Ganjam, Gajapati, Khurda, Puri, Jagatsinghpur – expected to be worst hit.

 Andhra Pradesh government has put the navy, army and air force on standby for emergency and relief operations.

The 1999 Odisha Cyclone [aka, Cyclone 05B, and Paradwip]

The 1999 Odisha cyclone was the deadliest tropical cyclone to hit India since 1971. The Category Five super storm made landfall just weeks after a category 4 storm had hit the same region.

The deadly cyclone hit India on October 29, 1999 with sustained winds of about 250km/hr, killing an estimated 15,000 people and carving a path of destruction.

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